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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Sport
Dan Falkenheim

Fantasy Draft Strategy: What to Do When There’s a Wide Receiver Run

The guy with the third pick in your fantasy draft has carefully built his team: Christian McCaffrey in the first round, Tony Pollard in the second, Tee Higgins in the third, Joe Burrow in the fourth and Diontae Johnson in the fifth. Ideally, he plans on securing wide receiver depth in the sixth and seventh rounds but – as his pick approaches – a wide receiver run occurs and the players he wants are gone.

Receiver-happy drafters on Underdog snag Jordan Addison, Gabe Davis, Jahan Dotson and George Pickens ahead of their average draft positions (ADP). The 1.03 drafter faces a predicament: Should he draft a running back like J.K. Dobbins or Miles Sanders at a discount despite having two solid RBs, or should he reach and draft a WR like Quentin Johnston or Treylon Burks at a premium to ensure having a strong third and fourth WR?

Fantasy Data Pros ran its first annual Best Ball Data Bowl⁠—a competition geared toward analyzing data from Underdog’s 0.5 PPR Best Ball Mania (BBM) 3 tournament⁠—and my submission focused on that exact dilemma. How does a run at wide receiver affect the draft board, and what should drafters do in BBM4 when a run occurs?

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