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Fortune
Fortune
Will Daniel

Even Larry Summers thinks we might avoid a recession after months of gloomy predictions: 'Soft landings are a triumph of hope over experience, but sometimes hope does triumph'

Larry Summers, former Treasury Secretary, attends the Allen and Company Sun Valley Conference on July 08, 2022 in Sun Valley, Idaho. (Credit: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Officials at the Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times last year in an attempt to get inflation under control, and most experts believe they’ll hike them again next month. Chair Jerome Powell has been hoping to avoid a recession throughout this process, enabling the U.S. economy to come in for a so-called “soft landing.” But over the past year, outspoken critics have repeatedly argued that Powell’s odds of success are low. 

Back in September, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers said that there was a 75% of a U.S. recession and warned that the Fed would struggle to bring inflation down from the four-decade highs seen in 2022.

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