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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Nathalie Tocci

Europe’s big election season is about to kick off. It could change everything

Marine Le Pen blows a kiss to supporters in La Fleche, in the Sarthe department, a day after announcing her candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election

Marine Le Pen blows a kiss to supporters in La Fleche, in the Sarthe department, a day after announcing her candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election
Photograph: Benoît Tessier/Reuters

When it comes to Europe’s economy or its peace and security, it is obvious that decision-making has to be done largely at the European level to be meaningful. Yet electoral politics is still conducted mostly at the national level. The silver lining of this mismatch is that from country to country in Europe we have governments with different political priorities and leanings. Unlike in the US, where one presidential election can radically change the entire country’s course, as we have seen so vividly under Donald Trump’s leadership, the same drama has not so far unfolded in Europe. This may be about to change.

Pedro Sánchez rolled the dice in Spain last week, calling a snap election for next month after an unholy alliance of the conservative People’s party (PP), the far-right Vox and Catalan pro-independence party Junts blocked his big housing reform package in parliament. If the socialist prime minister, hailed by progressives globally but demonised by Europe’s right and Trump’s US, loses his election gamble, Spain could fall into the hands of a conservative/far-right coalition, which is currently ahead in the polls.

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