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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Graeme Wearden

European Central Bank ready to cut interest rates; UK retail sales jump as inflation slows – business live

A ship cruises over the river Main with the European Central Bank on the right.
A ship cruises over the river Main with the European Central Bank on the right. Photograph: Michael Probst/AP

Closing summary

Time to recap:

Updated

Dutch central bank chief Klaas Knot has added his voice to the chorus of policymakers saying the European Central Bank can start to lower interest rates.

In a speech in London today, Knot indicated that the ECB could lower rates once a quarter – in tandem with its quarterly economic forecasts.

He explained:

“Policy rates will slowly but gradually move to less restrictive levels. Projection round meetings of the Governing Council will be the key meetings for our interest rate decisions.”

The ECB should have new forecasts to consider before its June meeting – one reason a rate cut next week is widely expected They’re also due in September, December and March.

Knot added

“Based on the March projections, optimal policy would have been broadly in line with 3-4 rate cuts.

The important takeaway is that, although these interest rate scenarios can provide useful guidance, given the current environment we still have to avoid any commitments on a specific future rate path.”

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