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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Sport
Tom Garry

Euro 2025: who has qualified and which teams will meet in the playoffs?

England’s Leah Williamson, France's Marie-Antoinette Katoto, Lena Oberdorf of Germany and Republic of Ireland’s Denise O'Sullivan
(Left to right) England’s Leah Williamson, France's Marie-Antoinette Katoto, Lena Oberdorf of Germany, who suffered injury heartache, and Republic of Ireland’s Denise O'Sullivan. Composite: The FA/Getty Images; Reuters; Getty Images; Sportsfile/Getty Images

The makeup of next summer’s Women’s European Championship is becoming clearer, with more than half of the 16 participating nations now confirmed including the holders England. The tournament is being held in Switzerland from 2–27 July 2025.

Who has qualified? Were there any shocks?

Safely guaranteed to join Switzerland, the hosts, are the eight sides that secured automatic promotion spots this summer by finishing in the top two places in their respective League A qualifying groups: Denmark, England, France, Germany, Iceland, Italy, the Netherlands and the world champions, Spain.

There are no hugely surprising omissions at this stage, in the sense that the highest-rated teams, by Fifa’s rankings, have progressed from each qualifying group. However, in Group A4 Iceland did well to finish above the 2017 semi-finalists and 2022 quarter-finalists Austria, who had to settle for the playoffs.

Sweden, the world’s No 6 team, are the highest-ranked side that failed to qualify automatically, but they had been drawn in the “group of death” alongside France and England (No 2 and 3 on Fifa’s list). The two-time European champions Norway (currently world No 16) also had to settle for a playoff place after being pipped by Italy and the Netherlands.

How are the favourites getting on?

Spain, who won the inaugural Women’s Nations League in February, have looked formidable during qualifying, scoring an average of three goals per game, the highest in League A. But even they displayed some vulnerabilities and were surprisingly beaten 2-1 away in the Czech Republic last Friday.

In fact, nobody in League A avoided defeat in the qualifying campaign. Germany, the record eight-time European champions, were humbled in a 3-0 loss to Iceland, while on Tuesday a much-changed France team succumbed to a deserved 3-1 defeat by the Republic of Ireland, although both the German and French sides had each already qualified.

England have displayed defensive strengths but have lacked an edge in front of goal, although they were not as goal shy as the Netherlands, the 2017 champions, who found the net just four times in their six qualifiers but still claimed an automatic spot. Vivianne Miedema’s first international goal since September 2022, a late equaliser, eventually got the Dutch over the line for automatic qualification in Norway on Tuesday.

The top scorer in qualifying in League A was the Germany forward Lea Schüller, with six goals in six games. However Germany were dealt a blow on Wednesday with the news that their star midfielder, Lena Oberdorf, suffered an anterior cruciate ligament injury on Tuesday, ruling her out of the upcoming Olympics and realistically the majority of next season too.

A further gauge of the form of some of Europe’s leading sides will come between 25 July and 10 August this year, when Spain, Germany and France will compete in the Olympics.

Who faces who in the playoffs?

The new format ensured that the best any side in League B or League C could hope for was one of 28 available playoff spots. Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales all safely earned their places in the playoffs from League B, and were pitted against other League B teams in Friday’s draw.

Scotland, ranked 23rd in the world, will first face Hungary (43rd) before a likely eliminator against Finland (26th). Wales (ranked 31st) will expect to overcome Slovakia (50th) but could then face the Republic of Ireland (25th) in the second round.

Northern Ireland (48th) face Croatia (56th) before a likely encounter with two-times former champions Norway. The highest-ranked side in the playoffs, Sweden (world No 6) face lowly Luxembourg (world No 116) before taking on either Bosnia or Serbia.

First round: League C v League A

Romania v Poland; Greece v Belgium; Montenegro v Finland; Georgia v Republic of Ireland; Slovenia v Austria; Luxembourg v Sweden; Belarus v Czech Republic; Albania v Norway.

First round: League B ties

Turkey v Ukraine; Croatia v Northern Ireland; Bosnia & Herzegovina v Serbia; Azerbaijan v Portugal; Hungary v Scotland; Slovakia v Wales.

Second round ties

Azerbaijan or Portugal v Belarus or Czech Rep

Hungary or Scotland v Montenegro or Finland

Turkey or Ukraine v Greece or Belgium

Slovakia or Wales v Georgia or Rep of Ireland

Romania or Poland v Slovenia or Austria

Croatia or N Ireland v Albania or Norway

Bosnia or Serbia v Luxembourg or Sweden

• All ties played over two legs

• First-round ties on 23 and 30 October

Second round on 27 Nov and 3 Dec

Only seven of those sides can qualify for next summer’s finals via the playoffs.

When is the finals draw?

Following the conclusion of the playoffs, the draw for the tournament finals will be carried out on 16 December in Lausanne.

Pot 1: Switzerland (hosts), Spain, Germany, France

Pot 2: Italy, Iceland, Denmark, England

Pot 3: Netherlands, TBC via playoffs, TBC, TBC

Pot 4: TBC, TBC, TBC, TBC

The Lionesses’ failure to win their qualifying group means they will not be seeded in the top pot for that draw. That means they could meet Spain, France or Germany as early as the group stage next summer. Any other home nations who qualify will be placed in pots three or four.

How did Uefa’s new women’s leagues work out?

For the first time, the qualifying format used the Nations League system with three leagues. Promotion and relegation were on the line, as well as Euros qualification, and after two full league cycles the gap in quality between the tiers is becoming clearer.

Every team that was promoted to League A at the end of the first Nations League cycle in December has been relegated straight back down to League B with the Republic of Ireland, Finland, Poland and the Czech Republic all finishing bottom of their groups this summer. Poland failed to pick up a single point from their six games.

Simultaneously, all four sides that had been relegated down from League A – Switzerland, Scotland, Portugal and Wales – have won promotion at the first time of asking, with only one of them, the Swiss, losing a match.

The picture is similar between Leagues B and C and, of the 51 participating teams, only Slovakia (relegated to League C this summer) and Turkey (stayed up in League B) will be in a different tier in the next cycle to the league they started in.

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