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USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Phil Harrison

ESPN game-by-game BPI Ohio State basketball predictions updated, final record

We like to do this exercise for Ohio State football, and we’ve carried it over into basketball as well. Each week during the football season, ESPN and its Football Power Index utilizes some formulaic equation that we’ll never know to predict the likelihood of OSU winning each of its games. It changes every week based on what the Buckeyes and their opponents do each time out, and the model is supposed to be predictive of future success.

Take that for what it’s worth.

It just so happens that ESPN does the same for college basketball, but rather than calling it FPI — you guessed it — BPI is used (Basketball Power Index).

So far this season, we’ve stayed away from looking at each game and projecting what the final record will be for Ohio State because, well, there’s a lot more games during a basketball season and we didn’t really know what this team was yet. But now that we are a few games in, it makes since to visit it and see what the “worldwide leader” things about OSU and what games it will win and lose.

It’ll be a good baseline for this team and we’ll continue to go through this fun little drill periodically throughout the season. For now, though, here’s what ESPN’s BPI says about Ohio State basketball’s chances of winning each remaining game on the schedule and what the projected ending record will be.

Saturday., Dec.. 9, at Penn State

Barbara J. Perenic/Columbus Dispatch

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 56.7%
Running predictive record: 9-1 (2-0 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Dec. 16 vs. UCLA (CBS Sports Classic)

Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 71.6%
Running predictive record: 10-1 (2-0 in Big Ten)

Thursday, Dec. 21 vs. New Orleans

Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 96.6%
Running predictive record: 11-1 (2-0 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Dec. 30 vs. West Virginia

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 77.3%
Running predictive record: 12-1 (2-0 in Big Ten)

Wednesday, Jan. 3 vs. Rutgers

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 74.5%
Running predictive record: 13-1 (3-0 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Jan. 6 at Indiana

USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Indiana
Win Probability: 54.1%
Running predictive record: 13-2 (3-1 in Big Ten)

Wednesday, Jan. 10 vs. Wisconsin

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 53.9%
Running predictive record: 14-2 (4-1 in Big Ten)

Monday, Jan. 15 at Michigan

Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Michigan
Win Probability: 57.2%
Running predictive record: 14-3 (4-2 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Jan. 20 vs. Penn State

Eric Firestine-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 82.7%
Running predictive record: 15-3 (5-2 in Big Ten)

Tuesday, Jan. 23 at Nebraska

Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Nebraska
Win Probability: 55.7%
Running predictive record: 15-4 (5-3 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Jan. 27 at Northwestern

USA TODAY SMG

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Northwestern
Win Probability: 60.9%
Running predictive record: 15-5 (5-4 in Big Ten)

Tuesday, Jan. 30 vs. Illinois

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 55.7%
Running predictive record: 16-5 (6-4 in Big Ten)

Friday, Feb. 2 at Iowa

Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Iowa
Win Probability: 65.8%
Running predictive record: 16-6 (6-5 in Big Ten)

Tuesday, Feb. 6 vs. Indiana

Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 73.9%
Running predictive record: 17-6 (7-5 in Big Ten)

Saturday, Feb. 10 vs. Maryland

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 76.4%
Running predictive record: 18-6 (8-5 in Big Ten)

Tuesday, Feb. 13 at Wisconsin

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Win Probability: 75.2%
Running predictive record: 18-7 (8-6 in Big Ten)

Sunday, Feb. 18 vs. Purdue

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Purdue
Win Probability: 62.9%
Running predictive record: 18-8 (8-7 in Big Ten)

Thursday, Feb. 22 at Minnesota

USA TODAY SMG

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 58.1%
Running predictive record: 19-8 (9-7 in Big Ten)

Sunday, Feb. 25 at Michigan State

USA TODAY SMG

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Michigan State
Win Probability: 64.1%
Running predictive record: 19-9 (9-8 in Big Ten)

Thursday, Feb. 29 vs. Nebraska

(AP Photo/Paul Vernon)

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 76.6%
Running predictive record: 20-9 (10-8 in Big Ten)

Sunday, March 3 vs. Michigan

(AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Win Probability: 70.5%
Running predictive record: 21-9 (11-8 in Big Ten)

Sunday, March 10 at Rutgers

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

What the ESPN BPI predicts

Predicted Winner: Rutgers
Win Probability: 56.9%
Running predictive record: 21-10 (11-9 in Big Ten)

Contact/Follow us @BuckeyesWire on X (formerly Twitter), and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Ohio State news, notes, and opinion. Follow Phil Harrison on X.

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