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Phoebe Fuller

Emmerdale's Billy, Nate and Mackenzie 'most likely to die' in 50th anniversay special, expert claims

Experts have predicted the most likely characters to be killed off during Emmerdale's 50th anniversary special on Sunday. By crunching the numbers, the betting pros have been able to draw up a list of the storm's most likely victims.

Odds experts at CasinoAlpha have analysed past soap deaths to draw up a profile of the people most likely to die. They have then matched current Emmerdale characters to that profile, to decide who is likely to meet an untimely death.

The experts investigated the storylines and deaths that took place within recent anniversary episodes across all major British soaps, including Coronation Street, Emmerdale, EastEnders and Hollyoaks. They found that those who usually die during anniversary specials are:

  1. Male.
  2. Between the age of 30 and 40.
  3. Characters on the show for five years or less.
  4. Murdered, or die through foul play.
  5. Characters who's death involves an ongoing issue from a romantic relationship.

Read more: Emmerdale fans 'in tears' over 'best episode in a long time' as they work out Cain's final words

Based on this profile, the experts have predicted that Billy Fletcher, Nate Robinson and Mackenzie Boyd are the three most likely to die during Sunday's dramatic episode. Those who have the second-highest chance of being killed off are Al Chapman and Will Taylor.

Producers have already confirmed that there will be "multiple deaths" on Sunday, so there is a chance that all five characters could exit the show. And Isobel Steele, who plays Liv Flaherty, has already been confirmed as leaving Emmerdale in the not-so-distant future.

Who do you think will be killed off on Sunday? Let us know in the comments!

CasinoAlpha’s CEO, Tudor Turiceanu, said: "We all know that significant episodes within British soaps - such as Christmas specials or anniversaries - usually result in high drama and even death for one of the characters. We wanted to analyse historical data in order to put some facts behind fan predictions.

"Our data shows that there are clear patterns in the storylines, deaths, and characters at risk during soap anniversaries. Billy Fletcher, Nate Robinson and Mackenzie Boyd are all ranked as likely victims.

Tell us who your favourite Emmerdale character is

"Also, given that the character killed off is most likely to be a man between the ages of 30 and 40, who has been on the show for less than five years and may involve an issue from a romantic entanglement, Al Chapman seems the most likely victim, in line with fan theories."

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