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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Technology
Alex Hern UK technology editor

Elon Musk predicts superhuman AI will be smarter than people next year

Elon Musk
Elon Musk: ‘My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year.’ Photograph: Gonzalo Fuentes/Reuters

Superhuman artificial intelligence that is smarter than anyone on Earth could exist next year, Elon Musk has said, unless the sector’s power and computing demands become unsustainable before then.

The prediction is a sharp tightening of an earlier claim from the multibillionaire, that superintelligent AI would exist by 2029. Whereas “superhuman” is generally defined as being smarter than any individual human at any specific task, superintelligent is often defined instead as being smarter than every human’s combined ability at any task.

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