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Cristóbal Castro Barrientos, PhD candidate, NZ Policy Research Institute, Auckland University of Technology

Economic ‘green shoots’ and lower interest rates disguise worrying trends in NZ’s job market

Max Dallocco/Shutterstock

Despite Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s reassurance that “some green shoots” are starting to show in the economy, including a 50 point cut in the official cash rate expected to be announced later today, the outlook for 2025 remains uncertain for many – and grim for some.

Unemployment reached 5.1% in the final quarter of 2024, the highest level since 2020, according to the latest data from Stats NZ. That translates to a total of 156,000 unemployed individuals.

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