In spite of predictions of record travel over the holiday weekend, Americans are likely to get at least one break this Memorial Day.
Gasoline prices are expected to stay under $4 a gallon this weekend as drivers head off to their Memorial Day destinations.
DON'T MISS: What's Driving Gasoline Prices Lower
That's a reprieve this holiday weekend compared to last summer. Drivers are expected to save at least $1.6 billion compared during the four-day period, said Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, a Boston-based provider of retail fuel pricing information and data.
"Memorial Day gas prices are down significantly across the country from last year," De Haan told TheStreet.
Gasoline prices fell for three consecutive weeks in late April and early May when crude oil prices also dropped. But gasoline prices have stablilized and the declines have stopped recently.
The national average price of gasoline is unchanged from a week ago at $3.51 per gallon, according to GasBuddy data. Prices for diesel dipped slightly by 3.2 cents during the last week and is selling for $3.94 per gallon.
Americans Will Save $1.6 Billion This Year
"But while the drop will save Americans $1.6 billion over the four day period compared to last year, motorists are cautious about their travel plans this summer with economic headwinds and inflation giving them pause when planning," he said.
Prices have remained flat during the past week. But some states have raised gasoline prices, which is "driven by oil’s volatility as debt ceiling discussions are ongoing," De Haan said.
Gasoline prices could increase slightly by May 26, "especially if there are positive developments in the debt ceiling discussions in D.C., while pessimism could drive prices slightly lower,” he said.
The good news is that drivers can plan and budget for their summer vacations this year because gasoline prices should continue selling for less than $4 a gallon at the pump during the season.
"The national average should remain below the $4/gallon mark for much of the summer, barring unexpected economic improvements, hurricanes or refinery outages," De Haan said.
Volatility in crude oil prices is expected to remain as discussions on reaching an agreement to raise the debt limit continue.
Both the West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude prices rose on Tuesday as the Saudi energy minister said there is the potential of additional production cuts by OPEC+, resulting in lower gasoline inventory. WTI increased by 1.2% at $72.91 a barrel while Brent crude rose by 1.1% at $76.84 a barrel.
Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Tuesday that short sellers on crude oil prices could lose money.
"Speculators, like in any market they are there to stay, I keep advising them that they will be ouching, they did ouch in April, I don't have to show my cards I'm not a poker player... but I would just tell them watch out," he said at the Qatar Economic Forum, organized by Bloomberg.
Short sellers believe that prices for an asset will decline. They profit by borrowing the asset and selling it, in hopes of buying it back at a cheaper price and pocketing the difference. Those who are short oil, risk generating a loss when OPEC+ makes a decision to slash production levels that ends up boosting prices.
Higher demand for oil will continue in 2023 and record prices could occur during the second half of 2023, said Rob Thummel, senior portfolio manager at Tortoise in Overland Park, Kan.
Inventory levels globally remain below normal and will likely stay at those levels, he said.
Oil prices are likely to rebound and could reach $85 to $95 a barrel for the year, Thummel said.
Common Gasoline Prices
The most common price of a gallon of gas in the U.S. is $3.39, up 10 cents from last week, according to data from GasBuddy. That's based on more than 11 million individual price reports from over 150,000 gas stations in the U.S.
The next four most common prices are $3.29, $3.49, $3.19, and $3.59.
The median price of gas is $3.39 per gallon, which is flat from last week and is 12 cents lower than the national average.
The top 10% of stations average $4.75 per gallon, compared to the bottom 10% averaging $2.91 per gallon.
Gasoline remains cheapest in Mississippi, where it is selling for $2.95 a gallon. Texas ranks second at $3.03 a gallon and Louisiana is third at $3.05 a gallon at the pump.
California's gasoline is the highest at $4.76 on average per gallon, followed by Hawaii at $4.74 a gallon and Arizona at $4.63 a gallon.
