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Investors Business Daily
Investors Business Daily
Business
SCOTT LEHTONEN

Dow Jones Rallies 300 Points As UBS Buys Credit Suisse; First Republic Plunges 20% On Credit Downgrade

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 300 points Monday as UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse in a bid to restore confidence in the banking system. Meanwhile, First Republic Bank plunged 20% on a credit rating downgrade.

Over the weekend, Swiss regulators brokered a deal for UBS to buy rival Swiss bank Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, or $3.24 billion — a substantial discount to Credit Suisse's $8 billion market cap on Friday. UBS shares rose 5%, while Credit Suisse American depositary receipts crashed 54% in morning trade.

The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF rose 4%. First Republic dived 20% after a credit rating downgrade. S&P Global downgraded the bank into junk status, saying the recent $30 billion infusion may not solve its liquidity issues.

But Western Alliance jumped 9%, while Keycorp was up 3.5%. And among larger banks, U.S. Bancorp climbed more than 3% after Baird upgraded the stock to outperform, from neutral. The note set a price target at 52 —almost 58% above where shares closed on Friday.

Fed Meeting

The Federal Reserve's two-day meeting kicks off Tuesday, with views on the probable rate strategy vacillating. As of Monday morning, odds of a quarter-point Fed rate hike Wednesday were at 62%.

Check the latest stock market update.

However, the banking crisis may have have upended the Fed's plan to keep interest rates higher for longer. Instead of more future rate hikes, Wall Street now sees the Fed shifting to rate cuts starting by July, if not sooner. By the end of the year, markets expect the federal funds rate to fall below 4%.

Foot Locker and Pinduoduo were earnings movers Monday morning.

FL stock gained 10% in morning trade after its report. Pinduoduo shares tumbled 15% on weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue.

Stock Market Today

Electric-vehicle leader Tesla traded 1.5% higher Monday morning. Also, Dow Jones tech giants Apple and Microsoft were lower after today's stock market open.

Chip leader Advanced Micro Devices, IBD SwingTrader member Meta Platforms and IBD Leaderboard listing Palo Alto Networks — as well as Dow Jones issues Nike and Salesforce — are among the top stocks to watch in the ongoing market correction.

Palo Alto is an IBD Leaderboard watchlist stock. AMD featured in Wednesday's IBD Screen Of The Day. And Nike was featured in last week's Stocks Near A Buy Zone column. Meta is an IBD SwingTrader stock.

IBD's latest newsletter MarketDiem gives you actionable ideas for stocks, options and crypto right in your inbox

Dow Jones Today: Oil Prices, Treasury Yields

After Monday's opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1%, and the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite, which does not track financials, traded down 0.2% in morning action.

Among U.S. exchange-traded funds, the Nasdaq 100 tracker Invesco QQQ Trust fell 0.3% and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF moved up 0.1% early Monday.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dived to 3.39% Friday, ending with big weekly loss as investors packed into the safe-haven bond market amid the ongoing banking crisis. On Monday, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 3.44% in early trade, near its lowest levels since September 2022.

U.S. oil prices continued lower following last week's 13% dive. West Texas Intermediate traded below $66 a barrel early Monday, down 1.5%, its lowest level since September 2021.

Stock Market Correction

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average sold off 1.2% and the S&P 500 lost 1.1%. The Nasdaq composite declined 0.7%.

Friday's Big Picture column commented, "The stock market ended the week on the ropes amid a painful bear attack on quadruple-witching day. Next week will be key in finding out whether indexes can fight back — or get clobbered to the canvas."

Now is an important time to read IBD's The Big Picture column amid the ongoing stock market correction.

Five Dow Jones Stocks To Buy And Watch Now

Dow Jones Stocks To Watch: Nike, Salesforce

Since bottoming on Oct. 3, Nike shares have rallied as much as 59% to their recent high at 131.31. Now the stock is consolidating within a flat base that offers a 131.41 buy point, according to IBD MarketSmith pattern recognition. NKE stock moved up 0.4% early Monday.

Following recent declines, the stock remains below its 50-day moving average, a key benchmark. A decisive retake would be bullish for the base-building prospects, carving the right side of the pattern. The relative strength line is also holding up well during the rapidly developing stock market correction.

In recent weeks, Dow Jones leader Salesforce showed big upside strength after strong fourth-quarter results. The stock above a 178.94 cup-with-handle entry after last week's big gains. Still, the market is in a correction, so investors should avoid new purchases until the market environment improves. CRM stock lost 0.5% early Monday.

3 Top Growth Stocks To Watch In The Stock Market Correction

Top Stocks To Watch: AMD, Meta, Palo Alto

Advanced Micro Devices broke out past an 89.04 buy point in a flat base last week and has a solid 10% cushion above the entry. The 5% buy range that topped out at 93.49. AMD featured in Wednesday's IBD Screen Of The Day column. AMD stock fell 1.4% Monday morning.

Backstory: In early February, the chipmaker reported stronger-than-expected data center chip sales in the fourth quarter. But AMD tempered that news with a soft outlook for the current period.

Facebook-parent Meta Platforms gave up a flat base's 197.26 buy point during Friday's 4.55% decline. Still, last week's breakout attempt was a sign of strength with the general market's weakness. Meta shares were up 1.8% Monday morning.

Backstory: Like social media rivals, Meta is struggling due to a sharp reduction in advertising revenue as clients squirm over macroeconomic concerns, recession fears and higher interest rates. This is happening as it spends billions of dollars on a risky bet to build the "metaverse," a virtual reality world that has yet to take hold.

IBD Leaderboard stock Palo Alto Networks is trading just short of a cup-with-handle's 192.94 buy point after Friday's 0.3% drop. PANW stock traded down 1% Monday.

Backstory: On Feb. 21, the cybersecurity giant announced good results for the January-ended quarter that saw earnings hit $1.05 a share, up 81% vs. a year earlier, on a 26% jump in revenue to $1.7 billion.

Learn How To Time The Market With IBD's ETF Market Strategy

Stocks To Watch In Stock Market Correction

These are four top stocks to watch in today's stock market, including two Dow Jones leaders.

Company Name Symbol Correct Buy Point Type Of Buy Point
Meta Platforms 197.26 Flat base
Nike 131.41 Flat base
Palo Alto Networks 192.94 Cup with handle
Salesforce 178.94 Cup with handle
Source: IBD Data As Of March 20, 2023

Join IBD experts as they analyze leading stocks in the current stock market correction on IBD Live

Tesla Stock

Tesla stock dropped 2.2% Friday, trading back and forth as it continues to hold above its key 50-day moving average. Shares closed Friday around 53% off their 52-week high.

TSLA stock rose 1.5% Monday morning, as it looked to bounce back from Friday's losses.

Dow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft

Among Dow Jones stocks, Apple shares fell 0.55% Friday, ending a four-day win streak that saw them rebound from their long-term 200-day line. AAPL moved down 0.1% Monday morning.

Microsoft shares broke out above a flat base's 276.86 buy point Friday, rising 1.2%. The buy zone goes up to 290.70. MSFT stock fell 2.5% early Monday.

Be sure to follow Scott Lehtonen on Twitter at @IBD_SLehtonen for more on growth stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

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