The Iowa caucuses have begun, marking the start of the electoral process and giving us a glimpse into how voters are dividing their support among the candidates. According to entrance polls, a significant portion of the electorate, 53%, identifies as part of the mega movement. Unsurprisingly, a large majority of these voters, 78%, intend to vote for Donald Trump. Among this cohort, DeSantis garners 10% of the support, Rama Swami receives 9%, and Nikki Haley trails at 3%.
White evangelical voters, comprising about half of the electorate at 51%, show overwhelming support for Trump. In fact, 55% of white evangelical voters are inclined to vote for him, a significant increase from 21% eight years ago. DeSantis is able to capture a quarter of the support from this group, while Haley and Rama Swami receive 12% and 8% respectively.