The midterms battle between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton is one of the most hotly contested and high-profile Senate races to date. Ordinarily, Paxton would be expected to stroll to victory in deep-red Texas. However, widespread dissatisfaction with the second Trump administration, combined with Talarico’s charisma, has led to a close race.
Now, with just weeks to go before voting day, Talarico is pulling ahead in the polls. The New York Times poll tracker, which aggregates multiple polls, has Talarico firmly ahead by two to six points. Even the Republican pollster Trafalgar Group puts Talarico four points ahead of Paxton.