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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Dollar Sinks as Weak US CPI Report Puts Rate Cuts in Play

The dollar index (DXY00) today is down by -0.73% at a 1-month low.  The dollar retreated today after the weaker-than-expected US June CPI report bolstered speculation the Fed will be able to cut interest rates this year.  Also, today’s s rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.  A supportive factor for the dollar was the decline in weekly US jobless claims to a 6-week low, a sign of strength in the labor market that is hawkish for Fed policy.

The US June CPI eased to +3.0% y/y from +3.3% y/y in May, better than expectations of +3.1% y/y.  The June CPI ex-food and energy eased to a 3-year low of +3.3% y/y from +3.4% y/y in May, better than expectations of no change at +3.4% y/y.

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