The dollar index (DXY00) today is down -0.35%, adding to Tuesday's loss of -0.43%. The dollar index has continued lower on increased expectations for Fed rate cuts through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by weaker dollar interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note yield down -5.4 bp today and the 2-year T-note yield down by -5.6 bp.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent today said that interest rates are "too constrictive" and that rates "should probably be 150, 175 basis points lower." He added, "There's a very good chance of a 50 basis point cut. We could go into a series of rate cuts here, starting with a 50 basis point rate cut in September." The Fed is currently targeting the federal funds rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% and the effective rate is currently at 4.33%.
