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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Eric Garcia

Blue mirage? Pollster warns Democratic leads in midterms may be exaggerated

Nate Cohn Democratic Party Joe Biden Mandela Barnes Clinton Ron Johnson Wisconsin Pennsylvania Republican
REUTERS

New York Times political analyst Nate Cohn has warned that polls that show Democrats in the lead might be making the same mistakes that forecasters made in 2020.

In 2020, The Upshot website created a polling diary that included a table that showed what would happen if polls were as “wrong” as they were when they missed Donald Trump’s 2016 victory.

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