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Fortune
Fortune
Sasha Rogelberg

'Damage from the chaotic tariff regime cannot be refunded': The $100 billion in refunds have wiped out revenue the import taxes brought in since May

Donald Trump, standing behind a podium, points in front of him with Scott Bessent standing behind him. (Credit: Serdar Ozsoy—Getty Images)

The magnitude of tariff refunds the Trump administration must dole out is now outpacing how much money it’s bringing in through the import taxes, and it’s dealing a new blow of damage to the U.S. economy, one think tank warned.

In May, when the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) rolled out its online tariff refund portal, the U.S. Treasury refunded $21.97 billion, exceeding the $21.93 billion it collected that month—and a complete reversal of the month before, when the Treasury distributed only about $2 billion in tariff refunds, according to a report published this month by the Tax Foundation, a tax policy nonprofit, citing monthly Treasury statements. In June, the balance sheet became even more lopsided, with $49.18 billion refunded as compared to the $23.63 billion collected, resulting in a net customs revenue of negative $25.56 billion.

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