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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Environment
Damian Carrington Environment editor

Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought

Image of choppy, dark North Atlantic sea
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is a major part of global climate system and is known to be at its weakest for 1,600 years as a result of climate crisis. Photograph: Henrik Egede-Lassen/Zoomedia/PA

The critical Atlantic current system appears significantly more likely to collapse than previously thought after new research found that climate models predicting the biggest slowdown are the most realistic. Scientists called the new finding “very concerning” as a collapse would have catastrophic consequences for Europe, Africa and the Americas.

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) is a major part of the global climate system and was already known to be at its weakest for 1,600 years as a result of the climate crisis. Scientists spotted warning signs of a tipping point in 2021 and know that the Amoc has collapsed in the Earth’s past.

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