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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Patrick Wintour Diplomatic editor

Could Iran’s escalating economic crisis weaken negotiating position with US?

Vehicles drive past a giant billboard reading ‘the strait of Hormuz remains closed' at the Revolution Square in Tehran last week.
Vehicles drive past a giant billboard reading ‘the strait of Hormuz remains closed' at the Revolution Square in Tehran last week. Photograph: Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images

Iran may not be choking like a stuffed pig as Donald Trump predicted, but its economy is in serious difficulty as a combination of a massive war-damages bill, inflation, currency devaluation, unemployment and a contraction in oil revenues combine to leave the political elite worrying how hardline they can afford to be with their US negotiators. One estimate circulating in Iran’s media suggests the damage to the economy from the US-Israeli attacks is nine times the value of the Iranian budget last year.

The UN Development Programme has estimated that 4.1 million more Iranians could fall into poverty.

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