If one word could sum up the 2026 MLB season thus far, it would be surprising. There have been surprises, both pleasant and unpleasant, in terms of individual and team performances. The American League-leading Rays, gritty Cardinals, upstart Pirates, suddenly-fun White Sox and division-leading A’s have all raced out of the starting gates while far exceeding any preseason expectations.
And with Memorial Day, long seen as the first evaluation checkpoint of the MLB season, come and gone, now is a logical time to reflect on how real—or not—these hot starts are.