December arabica coffee (KCZ24) Monday closed up +12.90 (+5.14%), and November ICE robusta coffee (RMX24) closed up +217 (+4.29%).
Coffee prices Monday rallied sharply due to concerns that adverse global weather in key coffee producers will lead to smaller coffee production. Brazil has been facing the driest weather since 1981, according to the natural disaster monitoring center Cemaden. Rainfall in Brazil has consistently been below average since April, damaging coffee trees during the all-important flowering stage and reducing the prospects for Brazil's 2025/26 arabica coffee crop. Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that Brazil's Minas Gerais region received 9.8 mm of rain over the past week, or only 62% of the historical average. Minas Gerais accounts for about 30% of Brazil's arabica crop. Also, robusta coffee has support after heavy rain from typhoon Yagi last week flooded Vietnam's robusta coffee fields and may curb the country's coffee output. Vietnam is the world's largest robusta coffee producer.
