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Rich Asplund

Coffee Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Favorable Brazil Crop Outlook

Ice Brazil Vietnam arabica FAs

May arabica coffee (KCK26) on Thursday closed down -2.40 (-0.81%), and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) closed down -73 (-2.07%).

Coffee prices settled lower on Thursday amid a stronger dollar ($DXY). Also, the outlook for a record Brazilian coffee crop is weighing on coffee prices. Last Thursday, Marex Group Plc projected a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 75.9 million bags, even higher than Sucafina's forecast of 75.4 million bags, up +15.5% y/y. Earlier this month, StoneX raised its Brazil 2026/27 coffee production estimate to a record 75.3 million bags, up from a November estimate of 70.7 million bags.

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