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Rich Asplund

Cocoa Prices Push Higher as the Global Cocoa Surplus Shrinks

Ice United States ICCO London NY European Union the International Cocoa Organization the Ivory Coast

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26) on Monday closed up +5 (+0.09%), and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26) closed up +63 (+1.55%).

Cocoa prices extended last Friday's rally on Monday, with NY cocoa posting a 3.5-week high and London cocoa posting a 3-week high. The outlook for a smaller-than-expected global cocoa surplus has underpinned prices over the past two weeks. On November 28, the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) cut its global 2024/25 cocoa surplus estimate to 49,000 MT from a previous estimate of 142,000 MT, and lowered its global 2024/25 cocoa production estimate to 4.69 MMT from a prior estimate of 4.84 MMT.

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