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Close special election race in New York's 3rd district

Republican congressional candidate for New York's 3rd district, Mazi Melesa Pilip votes in Massapequa, New York

In the ongoing special election for New York's 3rd Congressional District, the vote count continues to unfold, with the results showing a tight race. As of now, with about 14% of the votes counted, Tom Suozzi holds a narrow lead with 41% of the votes, while his opponent, Famazi Pilip, is close behind with 39%.

It is important to note that this is still an early stage in the counting process, with roughly 80% of the votes yet to be tallied. Therefore, it is premature to draw any definitive conclusions about the outcome of the election. While Suozzi has maintained a consistent lead, it is crucial to exercise patience and refrain from making hasty projections.

The district in question is divided between Queens County, a part of New York City, and Nassau County. Suozzi's strength lies in his performance in Queens County, where he currently holds 62% of the vote. He has been able to mobilize significant support in the urban area of the district, which is essential for any Democrat. However, Pilip is making a strong showing as well, securing 40% of the votes in the same county.

A comparison to the previous election helps provide context for evaluating Suozzi's performance. In the 2022 midterms, Robert Zimmerman, the Democratic candidate at that time, won Queens County with 52% of the vote. Suozzi is exceeding Zimmerman's performance, which is a positive sign for his campaign. It is worth noting, however, that this special election's turnout may not align perfectly with that of the 2022 midterms.

Turning attention to Nassau County, where George Santos, the Republican candidate, won the seat in the last election, Pilip is currently leading with 57% of the vote. Nevertheless, the vote count in Nassau County is still at an early stage, with only 1% reported so far. In the 2022 midterms, Nassau County saw over four times the number of votes compared to Queens County – an important factor to consider when analyzing the election results.

As the vote count progresses, it is expected that more accurate figures will emerge, providing a clearer indication of the outcome. Currently, the vote count in Queens County stands at approximately 82%, with around 25,000 votes recorded. It is estimated that the total number of votes cast in the district will reach around 160,000. The focus now shifts to the counting process in Nassau County, where a substantial number of votes are yet to be counted.

While the results for this special election are still unfolding, it is crucial to exercise caution and avoid premature predictions. The full picture of the election outcome will become clearer once all votes have been counted and analyzed.

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