The cost of a Christmas dinner is climbing. Inflation affects almost every aisle of the grocery store. However, historical data and current market trends indicate that certain holiday staples increase in price significantly faster than others as December approaches. Understanding these specific price spikes can help you plan your shopping. By buying these eight volatile items early, you can avoid the “holiday premium.”

1. Butter
Butter is the backbone of holiday baking. The demand for butter surges in November and December. This increased demand often leads to a significant price spike. In late 2025, butter prices will be elevated due to lower milk production. You should buy your butter now and freeze it to lock in the lower price.
2. Turkeys
While stores use turkeys as a “loss leader” for Thanksgiving, prices can actually rise closer to Christmas. The supply of smaller, Christmas-sized turkeys is often tighter. If you wait until the last minute, you may be forced to buy a more expensive, organic, or fresh turkey because the cheaper frozen ones are sold out.
3. Beef Roasts
A prime rib or a beef tenderloin is a popular Christmas centerpiece. Beef prices are highly volatile and have been rising steadily due to a shrinking cattle herd. The high demand for these premium cuts in December allows retailers to charge a premium. You should look for sales in early December and freeze your roast.
4. Heavy Cream
Like butter, heavy cream is an essential holiday ingredient. It is used in everything from whipped cream to mashed potatoes. The high demand during the baking season puts pressure on the dairy supply chain. This often results in fewer sales and higher shelf prices as the holiday gets closer.
5. Chocolate and Cocoa

The global price of cocoa has skyrocketed due to poor harvests in West Africa. This is driving up the price of chocolate chips, baking chocolate, and cocoa powder. These essential baking items are likely to be much more expensive this Christmas than in previous years. Buying them early is a smart move.
6. Eggs
Egg prices are notoriously volatile. They are susceptible to outbreaks of avian flu, which can decimate flocks and cause prices to spike overnight. Since eggs are a crucial ingredient for holiday baking, any shortage in December will be felt immediately in your wallet. It is wise to buy them when you see a stable price.
7. Fresh Herbs
Fresh herbs like rosemary, thyme, and sage are essential for holiday flavor. However, they are perishable and difficult to ship in the winter. The high demand and the challenges of winter distribution often lead to high prices for tiny packages of fresh herbs in late December.
8. Vanilla Extract
Real vanilla extract is a premium, expensive ingredient. The price is driven by global weather conditions and harvest yields in Madagascar. It is a product that rarely goes on sale during the peak baking season. If you see a good price on a bottle in the fall, you should grab it.
Beating the Holiday Inflation
The holidays are expensive enough without paying extra for your groceries. By identifying these volatile items, you can outsmart the seasonal price hikes. A well-stocked freezer and pantry are your best defense against holiday inflation. Buying your butter, chocolate, and meat early allows you to focus on the celebration, not the cost, when Christmas finally arrives.
What items do you always buy early for Christmas? Have you noticed prices starting to creep up already? Let us know your strategy!
What to Read Next
- Holiday Grocery Sales That Save the Most Money Before Christmas
- 8 Christmas Gifts You Can Get For A Steal If You Buy Them At Your Grocery Store
- Grab These 7 Baking Ingredients Weeks Before Christmas Rush Hits
- 9 Tech Items That Will Be Obsolete by Next Christmas
- How to Shop For Christmas Now and Save Yourself 50% of Your Christmas Budget
The post Christmas Meal Prep Items That Rise in Price Faster Than Others appeared first on Grocery Coupon Guide.