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Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy
Comment
Stephen M. Walt, Zachary Karabell

China and the United States Are in a Race to Lose Power

Workers iron a Chinese national flag while a U.S. national flag is placed in front of a Chinese traditional painting before a meeting of the U.S. National Security Advisor Tom Donilon and Chinese State Councilor Yang Jiechi at Diaoyutai State Guesthouse on May 27, 2013 in Beijing, China. Alexander F. Yuan-Pool/Getty Images

Back in the bad old days of the Cold War, I recall hearing a well-known academic (and former diplomat) remark that the United States and the Soviet Union were engaged in “a relentless competition to see which one could lose influence fastest.” Assuming my memory is accurate, he then added, “Fortunately, the Soviets are winning.”

I’m wary of facile analogies to that earlier period of great-power rivalry, but that observation seems to be an apt description of the current state of Chinese and American foreign policy. Beijing and Washington can each point to a few successes over the past year or two, but for the most part both seem to be perfecting the art of the own goal. Citizens of both countries have reason to be grateful; given how poorly their leaders have performed, it’s a small miracle the other side hasn’t taken better advantage.

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