Manchester City are in full control of UEFA Champions League Group G and top spot will be secured if they can avoid defeat at Westfalenstadion on Tuesday night.
Furthermore, Dormund are comfortably clear of the rest in second place which means that there is actually very little jeopardy in this fixture for either side.
City short-price backers had their fingers well and truly burnt in Copenhagen in the last round of matches and, with so little at stake, it might not be the safest strategy to go wading into the visitors at 4/7 ( Betfred ). Dortmund are 4/1, a price that will appeal to more speculative punters, while the draw, which looks a big runner here, is 16/5.
City dominated possession in the first clash between these sides but it was a game of few big chances - indeed neither side recorded an xG of greater than 1.0. Dortmund's opporunities were few and far between at the Etihad but they will expect to improve on that low shot count back in Germany, especially as they go into this game having put five past Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday.
The key figure in this game is undoubtedly Erling Haaland who returns to Dortmund for the first time since his summer mover from the club he scored 62 goals for (from just 67 appearances). The Norwegian scored City's winner in the reverse fixture and is just 8/13 to score any time again. He's a 2/1 chance to open the scoring and the same price to close the scoring.
City are averaging almost three goals per game in this competition so the 0-0 draw in Copenhagen was a real surprise and the sort of result that sounds a warning to anyone just assuming that City will score a hatful in every game they play.
Dortmund kept City at arms length for large parts of that first game between the sides and they tend to do their best work at home so Edin Terzic and his players will feel that they can get something out of this game.
Borussia Dortmund vs Man City predictions
This isn't a dead rubber in the literal sense but it's not far off given both sides know their positions in Group G are fairly safe. That might just ensure that this isn't played at quite the intensity that could have been the case and this doesn't feel like the sort of game that City will run away with.
Backing the hosts with a goal start on the +1 handicap looks a solid enough strategy (4/6 with Betfred) but a bigger return can be garnered from backing all outcomes bar the City win. Dortmund/Draw in the Double Chance section pays an appealing 5/4.
Borussia Dortmund vs Man City predictions: Dortmund/Draw (Double Chance) - 5/4
Borussia Dortmund vs Man City odds with Betfred
- Borussia Dortmund - 19/5
- Draw - 16/5
- Man City - 4/7
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