Just when you think you have the 2023 season figured out, Week 14 happened. Of the 15 games played, 10 teams with the worse record coming in found ways to win.
Teams had a chance to put a stranglehold on division titles and failed. A final nail in a season had the chance to be hammered for teams on the brink and failed. A team scored three points and won.
There are weeks in every season when you shake your head and wonder what you just saw. Week 14 was one of those lightning-strike occurrences.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Los Angeles Chargers (+135) at Las Vegas Raiders (-160)
This is a really smaller Over/Under number (34.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). However, the Raiders haven’t scored more than 17 points in their last four games, six of their last seven and 10 of 13 games this year. The Chargers have scored just 23 points in their last three games and don’t have Justin Herbert. Take Under 34.5 points (-110).
Minnesota Vikings (+140) at Cincinnati Bengals (-165)
The Bengals are a small home favorite (3 points at -105 Vikings, -115 Bengals). From the investment currently needed to bet the Bengals, it looks like the line will move to 3.5 points, which is a better bet for our purposes. Take the Vikings plus 3 points (+100).
Pittsburgh Steelers (+105) at Indianapolis Colts (-125)
The Colts have won four of their last five games but are still modest home favorites (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). If the Steelers couldn’t beat the Arizona Cardinals and New England Patriots at home, there is little reason to think they can beat a legitimate playoff contender on the road. Take the Colts and lay 1.5 points (-110).
Denver Broncos (+170) at Detroit Lions (-210)
The Over/Under is pretty high (47.5 points at -110 for both). While the Lions have routinely topped this number, Denver plays a ball control, field position style that hasn’t gone over 48 points in its last eight games. Detroit should win, but they will likely play Denver’s style of game. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).
Chicago Bears (+140) at Cleveland Browns (-165)
The Browns are small home favorites (3 points at -105 Bears, -115 Browns). The Bears have won two straight, but the Browns are a different team at home, having won five of six games. Cleveland’s defense will need to step up, but it has the talent to defend its yard. Take the Browns and lay 3 points (-115).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+145) at Green Bay Packers (-175)
Both teams are currently in the playoffs and have a relatively low Over/Under (41.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). This O/U point suggests that the game will be low scoring, but the Packers have scored 22 or more points in each of their last four games and allowed 19 or more in each of their last five. The Buccaneers have scored 20 or more in their last three and allowed 25 or more in three of their last four. Take Over 41.5 points (-110).
Houston Texans (+120) at Tennessee Titans (-145)
The Over/Under is low given the firepower Houston has displayed this season (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). But it’s because the Texans are already without Tank Dell and likely without C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins. Tennessee will want to grind the ball on the ground, so there will be a lot of time coming off the clock with sustained drives. Take Under 38 points (-110).
New York Jets (+310) at Miami Dolphins (-400)
If not for blowing a 14-point lead in the final four minutes at Tennessee, Miami would be favored by more. (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). With Tyreek Hill a question mark, the Dolphins won’t be as explosive but should have enough to take care of business at home against the Jets. Take the Dolphins and lay 8.5 points (-110).
Kansas City Chiefs (-400) at New England Patriots (+310)
This is one of the lowest Over/Under numbers the Chiefs have seen in years (37 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The reason it’s so low is that the Patriots struggle to score and will have a difficult time moving the ball, much less score touchdowns. The Chiefs will win but may be forced to play the Patriots’ style of game. Take Under 37 points (-110).
New York Giants (+220) at New Orleans Saints (-275)
The Giants have been a cute story but are still big underdogs (6 points at -110 for both Giants and Saints). The loud stadium environment will make things difficult for the Giants to operate, and the mistakes they make will be the difference. Take the Saints and lay 6 points (-110).
Atlanta Falcons (-165) at Carolina Panthers (+140)
The Falcons are small road favorites (3 points at -110 for both teams). Atlanta keeps taking a step back every time it starts gaining momentum, but the Falcons beat the Panthers by 14 points earlier this year, and that shouldn’t change. Take the Falcons and lay 3 points (-110).
Washington Commanders (+240) at Los Angeles Rams (-300)
The Rams are pretty big favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). Washington has been blown out in its last three games by 12, 35, and 30 points. While two of those were against the Dallas Cowboys and Dolphins, the Rams can do damage offensively and should have enough to pull away from this team in transition. Take the Rams and lay 6.5 points (-110).
San Francisco 49ers (-900) at Arizona Cardinals (+600)
The 49ers are huge favorites (12.5 points at -110 for both). It’s always difficult to give away this many points, but the 49ers are just too powerful and now have the No. 1 seed in their own hands. The Cardinals just can’t keep up. Take the 49ers and lay 12.5 points (-110).
Dallas Cowboys (+110) at Buffalo Bills (-130)
The Cowboys have been on a roll and beating teams up over the last month. The Bills have been streaky, so their typical home-field dominance hasn’t been as pronounced as in recent years. This is going to be determined by turnovers, and Buffalo’s main weakness is giving the ball away at critical times. Take the Cowboys on the moneyline (+110).
Baltimore Ravens (-165) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+140)
The Over/Under is eminently reachable (42.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Ravens have put up more than 30 points in six of their last seven games and the Jaguars have gone over this O/U in each of the last four games. The Jaguars have allowed 65 points to the Bengals and Browns the last two weeks, and the Ravens should make it three straight of 30 or more. Take Over 42.5 points (-110).
Philadelphia Eagles (-200) at Seattle Seahawks (165)
The Eagles haven’t been as dominant as they started the season, and the point spread is low for a team that entered last week as the No. 1 seed in the league (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Seahawks have lost four straight, including the Cowboys and 49ers twice. They’re facing another elite team and they simply can’t compete with them for 60 minutes. Take the Eagles and lay 4 points (-110).
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