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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Aisha Down

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

Globe on digital screen includes banner reading: US x Iran ceasefire by ... ?
An LED sphere screen seen in Polymarket’s ‘Situation Room’ in Washington DC this week. Photograph: Theo Marie-Courtois/AFP/Getty Images

Several accounts on the online platform Polymarket laid bets on a US-Iran ceasefire over the weekend that appeared to show signs of insider knowledge, according to experts.

Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire. They stand to make nearly $820,000 if such a deal is reached before 31 March.

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