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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Amy Hawkins

Behind the ticking time bomb – should we fear China’s slide into deflation?

A girl plays with a bubble gun in front of an inflating giant rubber duck, an art installation in Hong Kong
Let down: many analysts expected the end of zero-Covid measures to usher in revitalised growth. Photograph: Vernon Yuen/NurPhoto/Shutterstock

When two core indicators of Chinese inflation turned negative this week, alarm bells rang as the world’s second-largest economy started sliding into deflation. According to Joe Biden, China’s economy is a “ticking timebomb”.

The US president’s comments followed official data from China showing that July’s consumer prices index fell by 0.3% compared with 2022, while the producer prices index fell by 4.4%. It is the first time that both figures have been negative since November 2020, when the global economy had all but juddered to a halt during the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic.

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