Bear Call Spread Ideas for FedEx Earnings Next Week

A bear call spread is a type of vertical spread, meaning that two options within the same expiry month are being traded.

One call option is being sold, which generates a credit for the trader. Another call option is bought to provide protection against an adverse move.

The sold call is always closer to the stock price than the bought call.

As the name suggests, this trade does best when the stock declines after the trade is opened.

However, there can be many cases where this trade can make a profit if the stock stays flat and even if it rises slightly.

Bear call spreads are risk defined trades, there are no naked options here, so they can be traded in retirement accounts such as an IRA.

Traders should have a bearish outlook on the stock and ideally look to enter when the stock has a high implied volatility rank.

FedEx (FDX) is showing an IV Percentile of 87% in advance of their earnings announcement on June 23rd.

Assuming we have a bearish outlook on FDX stock, we can run the Barchart’s Bear Call Spread Screener and find the following results:

Below are the full parameters for this scan:

FDX Bear Call Spread Example

Let’s analyze the third line item, which has a Max Profit% of 11.11%.

This Bear Call Spread on FDX stock involves selling the $360-strike July 17 call and buying the $370-strike call.

That spread could be sold for around $1.00 which means the trader would receive $100 into their account. The maximum risk is $900 for a total profit potential of 11.11% with a loss probability of 19.8%.

The breakeven price is $361.00, which is 10.76% above the current stock price. This can be calculated by taking the short call strike and adding the premium received.

As the spread is $10 wide, the maximum risk in the trade is 10 – 1.00 x 100 = $900.

A More Aggressive Version

Let’s analyze another result from the screener, this time the one with a higher Max Profit Percentage.

The last line in the table involves selling the $340-strike July 17 call and buying the $350-strike call.

That spread could be sold for around $2.00 which means the trader would receive $200 into their account. The maximum risk is $800, for a total profit potential of 25.00% with a loss probability of 34.5%.

The breakeven price is $342, which is 4.93% above the current stock price.

The expected move for FDX for the July expiration is between 298.86 and 353.

Mitigating Risk

Thankfully, Bear Call Spreads are risk defined trades, so they have some built in risk management.

The most the first example can lose is $900 and the second example could lose a maximum of $800.

Position sizing is important so that a 100% loss does not cause more than a 1-2% loss in total portfolio value.

Bear Call Spreads can also contain early assignment risk, so be mindful of that if the stock breaks through the short strike and it’s getting close to expiry.

Trades held over earnings can be risky as they leave little room for adjustments if the stock makes a large, adverse move.

Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment.

This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.