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ABC News
ABC News
National
ABC meteorologist Tom Saunders

Australia's summer of extremes ends after cooler temperatures, below-average rain

A storm rolls over Sydney on February 9, a common sight for the city this summer. (AAP: Bianca De Marchi)

Parts of eastern and central Australia have just recorded their coolest summer in more than a decade, but La Niña's loosened grip meant rainfall was well below recent years.

The low temperatures were abnormal as climate change now ensures the vast majority of seasons are warmer than past years, even when the cooling influence of La Niña is present. 

Statistical highlights included Canberra's coolest summer nights in 38 years and Sydney's coolest in 23 years.

Rainfall was well above average across northern Australia and it was the wettest summer on record for small parts of the central Northern Territory, Kimberley and Cape York Peninsula.

Rain was variable but mostly below average in southern areas, including record dry conditions on the south-west tip of Western Australia and just 1.4 millimetres in Perth — only four per cent of its average.

Extremely high humidity caused Sydney to feel hotter than what was shown by the mercury. (AAP: Steven Saphore)

Range of drivers behind cool summer

In many ways, the cool summer temperatures compared to recent years played out as expected due to the balancing of two climate drivers, the warming influence of climate change and the cooling of La Niña.

The wildcard this summer was a spell of unusually cold weather over south-east states in December, with temperatures as much 15 degrees Celsius below normal and five days of snow recorded in the alps.

Another factor was a pattern of persistent easterly winds across southern states, which during summer brings cooler and wetter weather to Sydney and Canberra, but warmer and drier weather to Perth.

The anomalous easterly winds deviation has been a feature of the weather across south-east Australia for more than a year, and was partly behind Sydney's wettest year on record in 2022.

Sydney

Sydney's summer was wet and relatively cool, although extremely high humidity caused January to feel warmer. 

The city recorded its coolest summer days in 11 years even though the average maximum of 26.4C was slightly above the long-term average of 25.7C.

Despite a spell of warm and humid nights during the second half of summer, minimums were the coldest in 23 years at 18.3C, a touch below the long-term average of 18.4C.

The Harbour City was drenched by several severe thunderstorms which lifted the rain total to 447mm, well above the average of 297mm but well below last summer's 655mm.

It was also Sydney's fourth consecutive summer that was wetter than normal. 

Melbourne's famously variable weather saw a dramatic range in temperatures. (AAP: Diego Fedele)

Melbourne

Melbourne enjoyed a relatively cool and dry summer, although passed the 40C mark for the first time in three years.

The city's traditional extreme day to day variability brought maximums ranging from 40.5C to 15.8C.

Its rain total of 86mm was the lowest in nine years and well below the average of 154mm.

Maximum's averaged 25C, slightly below the long-term average of 25.4C, but warmer than an unusually cold summer two years ago.

While days were cool, nights were on the warm side averaging 15.2C, more than a degree above the long-term average of 14.0C and the 27th consecutive summer with warmer than normal nights.

Brisbane

Brisbane's summer was dry and relatively cool.

Only 269mm fell in the city, well below the average of 446mm and the driest summer in four years. 

Despite the lack of rain maximum temperatures were close to normal, averaging 29.6C, a touch above the long-term average of 29.3C.

Nights were pleasantly cool compared to recent years averaging 20.4C, just below the long-term average of 20.5C and the lowest in 11 years.

This dragged the city's mean temperature, the average of all minimums and maximums, to also to the lowest level in 11 years.

Perth

Perth baked through one of its hottest and driest summers on record. The city rain gauge only collected 1.4mm of rain, just a fraction of the average of 37mm and the third driest summer on record. 

Maximums averaged a scorching 31.3C, nearly two above the long-term average of 29.4C but two below the record hot summer from last year.

Perth has now sweat through 17 consecutive summers with above average maximum temperatures.

Thankfully, minimums were closer to normal at 17.7C, just above the long-term average of 17.5C

Adelaide

Adelaide's summer was near normal, it was slightly drier than average and slightly warmer.

Rain totalled 46mm, below the average of 67mm and the city's driest summer in four years.

Adelaide's minimums at 15.9C were below the long-term average of 16.3C while maximums at 28.7C were half a degree above the long-term average of 28.2C.

Canberra

Our national capital welcomed one of its coolest summers on record.

Daily maximums averaged 26.3C, one below the long-term average but slightly above last year.

Air conditioning was barely needed with minimums very cool at just 11.2C, well below the long-term average of 12.6C and the lowest since 1985.

Rain in Canberra totalled 183mm, just above the average of 169mm, but below last summer's 241mm.

Hobart

Hobart's summer was warm, particularly overnight, and was the 21st consecutive summer with above average temperatures.

Minimums averaged 12.9C, easily above the long-term average of 11.7C.

Daily maximums averaged 22.2C, nearly a degree above the long-term average of 21.3C and the warmest in three years.

It was slightly drier than average with rain totalling 135mm, just below the average of 143mm.

The autumn outlook for 2023 shows a high probability of above average maximum temperatures for much of Australia. (Supplied: Australian Bureau of Meteorolgy)

Warm seasons to return

La Niña is figuratively hanging on by a thread, and its final demise will bring a return to the climate change induced heat we have become accustomed to in recent years.

The Bureau of Meteorology's latest autumn temperate outlook indicates temperatures are likely to be above average in all areas of Australia apart from small pockets of north Queensland and eastern NSW. 

With La Niña very unlikely to return for a fourth visit, and its brother El Niño a distinct possibility it would be no surprise if next summer was one of the hottest on record for much of Australia.

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