Texas quarterback Arch Manning’s number one overall pick stock in the 2027 NFL Draft is sliding. Kalshi’s NFL Draft market now has Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith favored to land first overall and Oklahoma State QB Drew Mestemaker as the new QB1 on the board.
Manning’s price is down 15%, going from 31% to 16% following Week 4. He now sits with the third-highest price on the board. Smith is favored at 22% and Mestemaker at 18%. A $10 trade on Manning going first overall pays $45.56 if he is the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.