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Rich Asplund

Arabica Coffee Recovers on Weaker Dollar and Smaller Brazilian Crop Estimate

Brazil Ice USDA Vietnam the International Coffee Organization the USDA FAS Volcafe

March arabica coffee (KCH25) on Friday closed up +1.25 (+0.39%), and January ICE robusta coffee (RMF25) closed down -50 (-0.99%).

Coffee prices were mixed Friday, with underlying support from a weaker dollar.  In addition, consultancy group Safras & Mercado Friday estimated the 2025/26 Brazilian coffee crop at 62.45 million bags, down -5% yr/yr.  Safras predicts that arabica output will fall -15% yr/yr to 38.35 million bags due to drought and that robusta production will be 24.1 million bags.

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