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Rich Asplund

Arabica Coffee Posts a New Record High as Supply Fears Linger

Ice Brazil USDA Cecafe International Coffee Organization Vietnam Volcafe

March arabica coffee (KCH25) today is up +4.50 (+1.31%), and March ICE robusta coffee (RMH25) is up +66 (+1.20%).

Coffee prices today added to this week's sharp rally, with arabica posting a new record nearest-futures high and robusta posting a 6-week high. Lingering global coffee supply concerns are supporting prices and fueling fund buying of coffee. On December 17, Volcafe cut its 2025/26 Brazil arabica coffee production estimate to 34.4 million bags, down by about 11 million bags from a September estimate after a crop tour revealed the severity of an extended drought in Brazil. Volcafe projects a global 2025/26 arabica coffee deficit of -8.5 million bags, wider than the -5.5 million bag deficit for 2024/25 and the fifth consecutive year of deficits.

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