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International Business Times UK
International Business Times UK
National
Bernadette B. Tixon

Andy Burnham at 97% to Become Prime Minister as Prediction Markets React to Starmer's Resignation

Andy Burnham is now the overwhelming favourite to become Britain's next prime minister following Keir Starmer's resignation on 22 June 2026. (Credit: LBJLibraryNow/WikiMedia Commons)

Prediction markets moved swiftly on Monday after Keir Starmer announced his resignation as British prime minister, with Andy Burnham surging to a 97 per cent probability of succeeding him on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform. The 'Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?' market had drawn over $12 million (£9.45 million) in trading volume, with Burnham's odds climbing sharply in the hours following Starmer's televised statement outside Downing Street.

Speaking to reporters, Starmer said his party had asked 'whether I am best placed to lead us into the next general election,' adding: 'I have heard the answer of my parliamentary party to that question, and I accept that answer with good grace.' He confirmed he had informed King Charles III of his decision and would remain in post as caretaker until a new Labour leader is chosen.

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