Ballots from California’s June 7 primary are still being counted, but the results show which U.S. House races will be the hottest in November, with several that could tilt control of the chamber from Democrats to Republicans in 2023, according to independent election analysts.
Election trackers predict a GOP wave this fall as President Joe Biden’s approval rating sags under the weight of record gas prices, gun violence and surging COVID numbers. Plus the party of the president, now a Democrat, historically does poorly in midterm elections.
Analysts at nonpartisan organizations — including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections and Elections Daily — rate Democratic and Republican prospects for the races on a depreciating scale from safe to a toss-up.