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Heidi Brooks, Senior Researcher and Associate, Mapungubwe Institute for Strategic Reflection

A stable national coalition government in South Africa? Possible, but only if elites put country's interests first

South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa delivers the 2022 state of nation address to a joint sitting of Parliament. Coalitions could soon be a feature of national government. Jaco Marais/Pool Images/Gallo Images via Getty Images)

South Africa’s municipal government elections in 2021 produced a number of largely unstable local government coalitions. There’s now a strong possibility that the next government that’s formed at national level may be a coalition too. This would be the first since the dawn of democracy in 1994.

Elections due in 2024 will test the extent of the declining dominance of the governing African National Congress. Indeed, some polls suggest the party could fail to secure the 50% of the vote required to form a government. With no other party tipped to meet the threshhold, there might have to be a coalition instead.

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