A minority Labor government could be truly progressive – and the conservatives know it

‘The fact that about a third of the electorate are now giving their first preference to a party other than the majors suggest voters want … things to change.’ Composite: The Guardian

Predicting election results is a game for pollsters or mugs, particularly in a contest where complicated preference flows will determine the winner in many electorates. But published polls suggest a minority government is possible after 3 May.

The prime minister flatly refuses to contemplate the prospect. Anthony Albanese says he’s aiming for a majority, and when asked directly whether he would negotiate with Greens or minor parties to form government he gives a sharp one-word reply: “No.”