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Fortune
Fortune
Jim Edwards

A huge chunk of U.S. GDP growth is being kept alive by AI spending 'with no guaranteed return,' Deutsche Bank says

Rows of servers at Facebook's Fort Worth Data Center in Texas. (Credit: Paul Moseley/Fort Worth Star-Telegram/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

U.S. GDP grew 4.3% in Q3, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That far surpassed the consensus estimate among analysts, which was for a rise of 3.2% year-on-year. That’s pretty decent growth. No wonder then, that the S&P 500 ticked up another 0.88% yesterday, to come within half a percentage point of its all-time high. Traders seem to be pretty happy about where the U.S. economy is going.

But some analysts are starting to worry about how much of that growth is concentrated in AI.

A recent note from Pantheon Macroeconomics said that private fixed investment—a measure of how much companies are spending—”is rising only due to AI-related spending.” Analyst Oliver Allen published a chart this morning showing that all other private fixed investment is actually in decline:

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