Six large hyperscalers are expected to invest $7.7 trillion between 2026 and 2030, including about $6.8 trillion above their pre-AI capital expenditure run-rate, according to UBS Global Research. To generate a 15% return on invested capital by 2031, they would need to produce roughly $1 trillion in additional earnings before interest and taxes.
At current cloud margins, that would require approximately $3.4 trillion in incremental revenue.