
The 49ers’ 2022 season hasn’t gone according to plan. After six weeks they’re 3-3, and crushed by injuries, including one to starting QB Trey Lance which derailed the club’s development plan for the former No. 3 overall pick. Despite all of that and the adversity they’ve faced going into a Week 7 matchup against the Chiefs, San Francisco is still first in the NFC West with by far the best chance to win the division in the Football Outsiders playoff odds calculations.
Football Outsiders for their playoff odds simulates a season 50,000 times and assigns wins and losses based on their metrics.