
A rookie quarterback has never won the Super Bowl, so when we’re talking about this season and expectations, this is a bit of a slower burn. This season is about the start of something and, especially when we’re talking about the 2024 campaign, the quality of an economic assessment made by a handful of different general managers. One could argue, as I have here, that as many as four of the six quarterbacks selected in the first round are not expected to be immediate starters. Indeed, Drake Maye, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr. and J.J. McCarthy all enter camp either clearly entrenched in a No. 2 position or with quality veteran competition (or some combination of those things), alongside a coach and a general manager who need to produce results and cannot wait for a rookie quarterback to develop.
So let’s keep that in mind as we enter this year’s rendition of realistic expectations for our rookie passers. New this year is a deeper background on the play-callers, which should help flesh out some of our reasoning and inform what we know about each individual situation as we head into training camp.